01.26.10

The Mathematics of Recurrent Saving

Posted in Ideas, Mathematics at 12:28 am by Michael

This may give you a good idea of just how much you can expect out of that 401(k) contribution:

If you invest a recurring principal p on a yearly basis into an account with an (r-1)*100% APY (e.g. r=1.05 for a 5% APY), your return after y years is: p * (r^(y+1) – r) / (r – 1).

(For y >= 1, since we’re starting at the first compounding).

So if you put $5k a year into a 401(k) with 3% interest, you’ll have $59038 by the end of the 10th year, vs. the $50000 you’d have without interest.

After 20 years, you’d have $138,382, vs $100,000.

If you contributed $10,000 per year for 20 years, you’d end up with $276,764, vs. $200,000.

Worth it? You decide. But that shocking “you’ll have a $500k nest egg after 30 years” claim, while true, is only true because it’s counting the principal you’re investing.

Granted, locking it away does remove the temptation to spend it.

01.12.10

Personal Milestone

Posted in Personal at 10:42 pm by Michael

Today marks the first time someone has applied for a job at an organization I have started.

01.09.10

Data Classification Based on the Immune System

Posted in Biology, Ideas, Research at 4:55 pm by Michael

Idea: a data classification metamodel based on the immune system: train a small bag of classifiers and clone the ones that perform well, but with a small chance of random mutations to the hyperparameters. Weight classifiers created in this manner exponentially based on iterations since last correct classification. Keep a “memory threshold” below which the weight will not fall in case that pattern is encountered again.